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 How franking has boosted your returns - Eureka Report article 

How franking has boosted your returns

By Scott Francis
March 18, 2009

PORTFOLIO POINT: Investors' returns have been lifted by an average 18% in 10 years by franking credits.

What is the value of franking credits to Australian investors? Answer: over the past 10 years the value has varied between 1.08% and 1.91% year. This is a reasonable source of return for investors - and compounded over time will add a significant amount of return to portfolios. Of course this is just the average benefit from franking credits. Investors who particularly targeted high yielding, fully franked investments may have received benefits above this level.

To be fair, this is not to say that investors would be 1.08-1.91% a year worse off if the corporate tax rate were lowered at the expense of franking credits The Henry tax review is assessing whether the benefits of franked dividends may be reduced or scrapped altogether in exchange for a reduction in company tax.

Certainly, investors would ultimately benefit from a lower company tax rates. The companies that they owned would pay less tax, have an increased level of earnings and (all else being equal) pay a slightly higher level of cash dividends.

However, the modelling that we carried out last week on the effects of lower franking credits (see Franking credits in the firing line) shows that an Australian resident investor would be worse off under a scenario where the company tax rate was reduced in a tradeoff for lower franking levels.

Another problem for Australian resident investors, particularly those in retirement who rely on dividends to meet their living costs, is that any move to abolish franking credits would make dividends less attractive. In turn, this may see companies move to pay out less of their earnings as tax-ineffective dividends, and retain a greater proportion of their earnings for "growth" activities because capital gains would be concessionally taxed (with discounts for capital gains where assets are held for 12 months). What's more, these moves would almost certainly take place against a background where companies have already been reducing dividend payouts due to the weaker overall economy.

We already know that a cut in dividends would hurt . but what benefit have investors had from franking credits over time? Given that there is no currently available index (that I am aware of) that includes the value of franking credits in Australia, it is time that one was calculated . which we have now done.

The mechanism for measuring returns in a market is the "index". In Australia, the most used indices are the ASX 200 index and the All Ordinaries index.

Let's focus on the ASX 200 index, which measures the average return from the market's 200 largest companies. This index is "value weighted" so that the biggest companies (BHP, banks, big retailers) have a bigger impact on the market.

There are two indices currently calculated by Standard & Poor's that relate to the ASX 200. One measures the change in price of the market; this is the most commonly cited index in media reports, and is generally known as the ASX 200 index. As I write, the ASX 200 index is up about 0.5% for the day, which means that is the average change in price for the top 200 companies, weighted for their size.

There is also an ASX 200 Total Return or Accumulation index. This measures both the change in price of the top 200 companies and the value of the dividends that they pay. Neither of these indices include the value of franking credits, even though franking credits do offer a real return for investors.

But what if we created a new franking index, called perhaps the Australian Total Return plus Franking Credit Index.

The index has been calculated from July 1, 2000, sharing a starting point of 15,628 with the Total Return index.By January 1, 2009, the Total Return index had increased to 24,347, while the Total Return plus Franking Credit had reached 27,175. This is an additional 18% of return for investors, which comes about because of the average additional franking return of 1.33% a year, plus the benefits of this additional return compounding over time.

Another way to interpret this is that an initial investment of $15,628 in July 2000 would have grown to $24,300 by the January 1, 2009, when dividends and growth are included; and to $27,000 when the value of dividends, growth and franking credits are included.

Below are a graph and table comparing the ASX 200 Total Return index and the Total Return plus Franking Credit index.

nFranking credits' value revealed, in graph form .

 

n. and by the numbers

ASX200 TR Index
Average Franking 6 Months Prior (%)
Total Return PLUS Franking Index
July 1, 2000
15,628
1.27
15,628
January 1, 2001
15,404
1.26
15,501
July 1, 2001
17,045
1.38
17,258
January 1, 2002
17,023
1.40
17,358
July 1, 2002
16,245
1.20
16,669
January 1, 2003
15,434
1.17
15,933
July 1, 2003
15,967
1.27
16,584
January 1, 2004
17,749
1.71
18,577
July 1, 2004
19,417
1.75
20,485
January 1, 2005
22,774
1.34
24,163
July 1, 2005
24,534
1.32
26,191
January 1, 2006
27,943
1.31
30,001
July 1, 2006
30,405
1.39
32,853
January 1, 2007
34,711
1.37
37,731
July 1, 2007
39,119
1.26
42,759
January 1, 2008
40,292
1.13
44,281
July 1, 2008
33,875
1.12
37,478
January 1, 2009
24,347
1.27
27,175

Conclusion

The debate about franking credits seems to come down to a reasonably simple concept: should the Australian tax system be reformed such that Australian investments are more attractive to foreign investors through a cut to the Australian company tax rate at the expense of the benefits to Australian investors of franking credits. With Australians enjoying benefits of 1.3% a year (on average) from franking credits, the case to retain the status quo seems strong.
 
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The basics of franking credits


Australian shares have the ability to pay income to investors with "franking" or "imputation" credits. At the simplest level, it means that if a company has paid tax on their earnings they can pass on a tax credit (the franking or imputation credit) to the investor. For example, let us consider a company that earns $1 per share. The corporate tax rate means it pays 30 in tax, leaving 70 to pay to investors as a dividend. However, the company can pay both a 70 cash dividend and a 30 "franking credit" to the investor. The 30 is basically a "prepayment of tax" for the investor.

Here's how this works for a superannuation investor, who pays tax at the rate of 15%. They have to pay tax on the full value of the cash dividend and the franking credits, so they pay tax on (70 plus 30) = $1. This is known as the "grossed up" amount of the dividend. So, the tax owing is 15% of $1 = 15. However, the super fund has a 30 franking credit (prepayment of tax) so the actual tax to be paid is (15 owing minus the 30 franking credit) = minus 15, meaning the super fund would receive a refund of 15 on that dividend. The total benefit of the dividend is the 70 cash dividend plus the 15 tax refund.

(In reality a superannuation fund may not receive a tax refund of the 15 if there is other tax owing from other investments; the 15 is used to offset that other tax first and, if there are excess franking credits, will then receive a tax refund). In a superannuation pension fund, where the tax rate is 15%, all franking credits are received back by the fund as a tax refund.

Scott Francis' articles in the Eureka Report 

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